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. 2021 Mar 18;25(5):1366–1372. doi: 10.1007/s10461-021-03218-8

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

*Mean values by week shown with scatter points; blue trend line shows the ITS model-predicted trend with 95% confidence interval; vertical line shows the date of arrival of COVID-19 in Haiti (March 19 2020); dashed line show the counterfactual scenario of continuation of the before COVID-19 trend (with autoregression and adjustment for public holidays as a time-varying factor)