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. 2021 Mar 19;78(6):1–10. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2021.0688

Table 2. Multivariable Multinomial Logistic Regression Model for the Clinical Severity Outcome.

Risk factor COVID-19 clinical course outcome levela
Hospitalization only, OR (95% CI) P value ICU and/or required ventilator support, OR (95% CI) P value Death, OR (95% CI) P value
Age (every 10-y increase) 1.32 (1.12-1.56) <.001 1.29 (0.99-1.67) .06 1.77 (1.20-2.59) .004
Sex (male vs female) 1.41 (0.98-2.03) .06 1.00 (0.54-1.83) .99 3.12 (1.46-6.65) .003
Race/ethnicity
Non-Hispanic White 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb
Black 1.47 (0.98-2.22) .03 2.28 (1.22-4.23) .08 1.60 (0.65-3.93) .60
Hispanic or Latinx 0.77 (0.41-1.44) .34 1.76 (0.76-4.09) .50 0.57 (0.10-3.18) .23
Otherc/unknown 0.82 (0.33-2.08) .61 0.94 (0.20-4.36) .50 2.95 (0.45-19.5) .25
Ambulation
Fully ambulatory 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb
Walk with assistance 2.18 (1.42-3.34) .23 2.35 (1.22-4.54) .48 3.14 (0.99-9.95) .32
Nonambulatory 2.82 (1.64-4.85) .01 3.53 (1.59-7.81) .02 25.4 (9.34-69.1) <.001
Smoking status
Never 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb
Current 1.09 (0.52-2.29) .99 NAb .95 2.88 (0.67-12.4) .24
Past 1.08 (0.73-1.60) .95 1.10 (0.61-1.99) .95 1.32 (0.59-2.94) .76
Unknown 1.22 (0.58-2.57) .71 1.46 (0.48-4.45) .94 1.23 (0.26-5.94) .77
Cardiovascular disease (yes vs no) 1.91 (1.02-3.59) .04 1.46 (0.54-3.98) .46 3.15 (1.18-8.45) .02
Chronic lung disease (yes vs no) 1.29 (0.71-2.36) .41 2.12 (0.97-4.67) .06 1.10 (0.30-4.05) .89
Diabetes (yes vs no) 2.46 (1.50-4.04) <.001 1.85 (0.87-3.95) .11 1.07 (0.39-2.93) .90
Hypertension (yes vs no) 1.11 (0.73-1.69) .63 1.08 (0.58-2.04) .80 3.14 (1.38-7.15) .006
Morbid obesity (yes vs no) 1.69 (1.03-2.75) .04 2.87 (1.48-5.54) .002 2.49 (0.92-6.75) .07
Disease-modifying therapy
None 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb
Fumarates 0.99 (0.52-1.88) .90 0.26 (0.08-0.82) .98 0.40 (0.09-1.70) .30
S1PR 0.65 (0.26-1.61) .23 0.77 (0.28-2.14) .94 0.86 (0.15-4.93) .89
Glatiramer acetate 1.15 (0.51-2.61) .73 NAb .96 0.86 (0.16-4.56) .89
Interferons 0.35 (0.08-1.57) .11 0.29 (0.04-2.32) .98 0.56 (0.06-5.49) .75
Natalizumab 0.67 (0.31-1.45) .18 0.09 (0.01-0.73) .98 0.80 (0.19-3.44) .96
Ocrelizumab 1.63 (0.98-2.72) .009 0.91 (0.46-1.80) .94 0.47 (0.17-1.30) .25
Other 1.21 (0.45-3.24) .70 0.50 (0.10-2.38) .96 0.91 (0.18-4.73) .83
Rituximab 4.56 (2.10-9.90) <.001 1.92 (0.61-6.07) .91 2.81 (0.45-17.70) .11
Teriflunomide 0.83 (0.34-2.02) .58 0.30 (0.06-1.37) .98 0.48 (0.08-3.04) .57
Glucocorticoid use in past 2 mo
No 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb 1 [Reference] NAb
Unknown 0.94 (0.46-1.92) .16 0.44 (0.10-1.94) .19 2.13 (0.68-6.72) .95
Yes 2.62 (1.33-5.17) .009 1.57 (0.49-4.97) .21 4.17 (1.13-15.4) .13

Abbreviations: ICU, intensive care unit; NA, not applicable; OR, odds ratio; S1PR, sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor.

a

Reference level is not hospitalized.

b

Insufficient sample size to estimate OR.

c

Other races include Asian; American Indian, Alaska Native, or Indigenous Canadian; and Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander.