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. 2021 Mar 20;146:110885. doi: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.110885

Table 1.

Model parameter estimates for our proposed model (1). Since the exact mode of transmission for SARS-CoV-2 is still under effective investigation, these parameters are subject to change and variations as time traverse.

Parameter Definition Range Ghana Egypt Source
α Transition rate from the S to the Sp class per day 0.0333 – 0.0677 0.0333 0.0339 Fitted
ω Transition rate from the Sp to the S class per day 1.6945×105 – 0.500 1.6945×105 0.0020 Fitted
β Transmission rate from the infectious classes to the S class per day 0.5250 – 0.9250 0.5250 0.6920 Fitted
q=(1β1) Reduced transmission rate from the infectious classes to the Sp class per day 0.0048 – 0.2180 0.0048 0.0182 Fitted
η0 Relative transmissibility in the first incubation phase (E class) 0.0664 – 0.0629 0.0664 0.0629 Fitted
η1 Relative transmissibility in the second incubation phase (asymptomatic individuals) dimensionless 0.5713 – 0.6776 0.5713 0.5776 Fitted
η2 Relative transmissibility of hospitalized individuals 0.4463 – 0.600 0.5642 0.4463 Fitted
f The proportion of individuals from exposure to symptomatic 0.0268 - 0.0648 0.0268 0.0522 Fitted
(1f)ρ Progression from exposed to asymptomatic (10.0648)×0.1763(10.0310)×0.1923 (10.0268)×0.1849 (10.0522)×0.1733 Fitted
γ Progression from exposed to severely infected per day 0.0714 – 0.1923 0.1923 0.1923 [27]
σ Rate of progression from asymptomatic to severely infected 0.0025 – 0.1923 0.0025 0.0408 Fitted
δ Rate of progression from severely infected to hospitalized (or Isolated) per day 0.1264 – 0.5534 0.1264 0.5114 Fitted
ν Rate of progression from quarantine to hospitalized (or Isolated) 0.1518 – 0.3861 0.1518 0.2847 Fitted
τ Rate of quarantine variable 0.1706 0.2 Fitted
ϕ Rate of natural recovery from the asymptomatic stage per day 0.3309 – 0.3256 0.3309 0.3209 Fitted
r Rate of recovery 0.1510 – 0.2229 0.0714 0.2229 Fitted
k Rate of death from H 0.0102 – 0.0533 0.0102 0.0533 Estimated
d Rate of death from Is 0.0099 – 0.0500 0.0048 0.0425 Fitted