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. 2020 Jul 13;184(3):538–544. doi: 10.1111/bjd.19214

Table 3.

Positive predictive value per diagnosis

Diagnosis TC (%) UPC (%) UHC (%) P‐valuea
BCC 67·9 52·2 48·4 0·008 / < 0·001 / 0·50
SCC 40·8 19·2 31·6 0·01 / 0·48 / 0·06
Melanoma (in situ) 75·4 65·3 66·7 0·14 / 0·77 / 0·87
AK 60·0 50·0 73·5 0·70 / 0·79 / 0·25
BD 75·0 61·5 0·0 0·47 / – / –
(Atypical) naevus/lentigo 77·8 66·7 57·9 0·43 / 0·008 / 0·01
SK 76·5 71·4 82·1 0·22 / 0·67 / 0·22

aTC vs. UPC / TC vs. UHC / UPC vs. UHC.

AK, actinic keratosis; BCC, basal cell carcinoma; BD, Bowen disease; SCC, squamous cell carcinoma; SK, seborrhoeic keratosis; TC, trained cohort; UHC, untrained historical cohort; UPC, untrained present cohort.

Bold represents significant outcomes