TABLE 4.
Rural–urban model, only |
Additional demographic and socio-economic controls |
Additional ecological controls |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Categoryb | Variable | B | SE | Exp(B) | B | SE | Exp(B) | B | SE | Exp(B) |
Constant | −1.809 | 0.000 | 0.164 | −2.003 | 0.001 | 0.135 | −1.840 | 0.004 | 0.159 | |
Explanatory variable | ||||||||||
Rural–urban class | Metro 1–2 | 0.185 | 0.001 | 1.204 | 0.088 | 0.001 | 1.092 | 0.068 | 0.001 | 1.070 |
Metro 2–3 | 0.310 | 0.001 | 1.364 | 0.183 | 0.001 | 1.200 | 0.138 | 0.001 | 1.149 | |
Nonmetro 3–4 | 0.466 | 0.001 | 1.594 | 0.278 | 0.001 | 1.321 | 0.200 | 0.001 | 1.222 | |
Nonmetro 4–5 | 0.508 | 0.001 | 1.661 | 0.267 | 0.001 | 1.306 | 0.186 | 0.001 | 1.205 | |
Nonmetro 5–6 | 0.528 | 0.001 | 1.696 | 0.269 | 0.001 | 1.309 | 0.185 | 0.001 | 1.203 | |
Nonmetro 6–7 | 0.551 | 0.001 | 1.735 | 0.280 | 0.001 | 1.324 | 0.190 | 0.001 | 1.209 | |
Nonmetro 7–8.3 | 0.581 | 0.002 | 1.788 | 0.302 | 0.002 | 1.353 | 0.246 | 0.002 | 1.279 | |
Control variables: Demographic | ||||||||||
Age groups | 35 to 49 | 0.516 | 0.001 | 1.676 | 0.524 | 0.001 | 1.689 | |||
50 to 64 | 1.382 | 0.001 | 3.983 | 1.396 | 0.001 | 4.040 | ||||
65 to 75 | 1.896 | 0.001 | 6.658 | 1.913 | 0.001 | 6.774 | ||||
75 and older | 2.882 | 0.001 | 17.845 | 2.906 | 0.001 | 18.289 | ||||
Racial groups | African American | 0.120 | 0.001 | 1.127 | 0.104 | 0.001 | 1.110 | |||
Native American | 0.345 | 0.002 | 1.413 | 0.349 | 0.002 | 1.418 | ||||
Asian American | −0.500 | 0.001 | 0.606 | −0.485 | 0.001 | 0.616 | ||||
Other single race | −0.474 | 0.001 | 0.622 | −0.465 | 0.001 | 0.628 | ||||
Two or more racial groups | 0.432 | 0.002 | 1.541 | 0.439 | 0.002 | 1.551 | ||||
Control variables: Socio-economic | ||||||||||
Educational attainment | HSD or GED | −0.322 | 0.001 | 0.725 | −0.314 | 0.001 | 0.731 | |||
Some college, no degree | −0.373 | 0.001 | 0.689 | −0.363 | 0.001 | 0.695 | ||||
Associates degree | −0.513 | 0.001 | 0.599 | −0.499 | 0.001 | 0.607 | ||||
Bachelor’s degree | −0.851 | 0.001 | 0.427 | −0.832 | 0.001 | 0.435 | ||||
Professional, Masters, PhD | −0.915 | 0.001 | 0.400 | −0.894 | 0.001 | 0.409 | ||||
Housing | Renters | 0.254 | 0.001 | 1.290 | 0.252 | 0.001 | 1.286 | |||
Group quarters | 1.607 | 0.003 | 4.987 | 1.612 | 0.003 | 5.014 | ||||
Income-to-poverty ratioc | 125 to less than 275 | −0.516 | 0.001 | 0.597 | −0.511 | 0.001 | 0.600 | |||
275 to less than 500 | −0.839 | 0.001 | 0.432 | −0.828 | 0.001 | 0.437 | ||||
500 and higher | −1.140 | 0.001 | 0.320 | −1.121 | 0.001 | 0.326 | ||||
Control variables: Ecological/regional | ||||||||||
Occupation structure (of occupation) | Agricultural | −0.017 | 0.000 | 0.983 | ||||||
Extract./mining | 0.112 | 0.001 | 1.119 | |||||||
Production occupations | 0.015 | 0.000 | 1.015 | |||||||
Employment | Unemployment rate | 0.014 | 0.000 | 1.014 | ||||||
Poverty | Mean income-to-poverty ratio | −0.002 | 0.000 | 0.998 | ||||||
U.S. Census Region | Midwest | 0.013 | 0.001 | 1.013 | ||||||
South | 0.076 | 0.001 | 1.079 | |||||||
West | 0.044 | 0.001 | 1.045 | |||||||
N in sample | 8,482,101 | 8,482,101 | 8,482,101 | |||||||
N weighted | 167,370,489 | 167,370,489 | 167,370,489 | |||||||
−2LL | 148,259,696 | 124,588,900 | 124,441,747 | |||||||
Nagelkerke R2 | .009 | .232 | .233 | |||||||
% correctly classified | 83.6 | 84.3 | 84.3 | |||||||
Change in −2LL without variable | ||||||||||
Rural–urban class | 50,960 | |||||||||
Age groups | 14,834,004 | |||||||||
Racial groups | 404,002 | |||||||||
Educational attainment | 1,194,943 | |||||||||
Housing | 531,289 | |||||||||
Income-to-poverty ratio | 2,251,197 | |||||||||
% agricultural occupations | 15,539 | |||||||||
% extractive/mining occupations | 32,572 | |||||||||
% production occupations | 24,388 | |||||||||
Unemployment rate | 12,930 | |||||||||
Mean income-to-poverty ratio | 22,192 | |||||||||
U.S. Census region | 16,587 |
Note. Data sources: 2012–2015 data extracted from 2011–2015 ACS PUMS using 2010 Census Geography; unemployment rate for 2012 derived from Local Area Unemployment Statistics (BLS, 2018). Significance level: p < .001 for all coefficients.
Included in analysis: Persons age 25 and older (due to including educational attainment).
Reference categories: Rural–urban class, Metro 1; age groups, 25–34; racial groups, White; educational attainment, less than High School Diploma (HSD) or General Education Diploma (GED); housing, owner; income-to-poverty ratio, less than 125; U.S. Census Region, Northeast.
Income-to-poverty ratio is 100 for incomes equal to poverty level; 125 = 25% above poverty level, etc.