TABLE 2.
Random‐forest model performance predicting abundance or richness of wild bees. Response variables were z‐score normalized prior to analysis. The R‐squared, root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) were calculated using 10‐fold cross validation performed three times and are presented as mean ± standard deviation. Parameters mtry and ntree are the optimal values (for number of variables and number of trees, respectively) for each random‐forest model as determined by grid‐search parameter tuning
Wild‐bee taxa | Season | Response variable | RMSE | R 2 | MAE | mtry | ntrees |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
All species | Spring | Abundance day−1 trap−1 | 0.89 ± 0.33 | 0.17 ± 0.10 | 0.59 ± 0.13 | 15 | 5000 |
Summer/fall | 0.90 ± 0.32 | 0.13 ± 0.09 | 0.59 ± 0.09 | 25 | 1000 | ||
Spring | Richness | 0.88 ± 0.16 | 0.25 ± 0.17 | 0.67 ± 0.09 | 35 | 5000 | |
Summer/fall | 0.86 ± 0.08 | 0.27 ± 0.08 | 0.66 ± 0.05 | 35 | 2000 | ||
Andrena | Spring | Abundance day−1 trap−1 | 0.76 ± 0.56 | 0.28 ± 0.20 | 0.37 ± 0.14 | 35 | 2000 |
Nomada | 0.93 ± 0.28 | 0.10 ± 0.10 | 0.59 ± 0.12 | 15 | 1000 | ||
Osmia | 0.89 ± 0.28 | 0.21 ± 0.15 | 0.54 ± 0.11 | 15 | 5000 | ||
Cavity/stem nesters | Summer/fall | 0.85 ± 0.36 | 0.23 ± 0.15 | 0.45 ± 0.09 | 55 | 2000 | |
Ground nesters | 0.87 ± 0.40 | 0.17 ± 0.11 | 0.53 ± 0.10 | 50 | 3000 | ||
Eusocial species | 0.89 ± 0.15 | 0.22 ± 0.10 | 0.57 ± 0.06 | 40 | 3000 | ||
Solitary species | 0.89 ± 0.27 | 0.17 ± 0.08 | 0.51 ± 0.09 | 35 | 5000 | ||
Native species | 0.90 ± 0.33 | 0.13 ± 0.08 | 0.57 ± 0.08 | 30 | 5000 | ||
Non‐native species | 0.83 ± 0.40 | 0.23 ± 0.17 | 0.42 ± 0.09 | 55 | 3000 |