Table 3.

Incidence of type 2 diabetes by calendar year

	Rate per 1000 PYAR (95% CI)		Adjusted IRR (95% CI)*
	Men [annual change %]	Women [annual change %]	Men	Women
Year
2009	4.98 (4.89 to 5.07)	4.40 (4.32 to 4.48)	0.98 (0.96 to 1.01)	0.98 (0.95 to 1.01)
2010	5.07 (4.98 to 5.17) [+1.81]	4.36 (4.28 to 4.45) [−0.91]	1.00 (0.98 to 1.03)	0.97 (0.95 to 1.00)
2011	4.95 (4.86 to 5.04) [−2.37]	4.35 (4.27 to 4.43) [−0.23]	0.98 (0.95 to 1.00)	0.98 (0.95 to 1.01)
2012	5.00 (4.91 to 5.09) [+1.01]	4.33 (4.24 to 4.41) [−0.46]	0.99 (0.96 to 1.01)	0.98 (0.95 to 1.00)
2013	5.06 (4.97 to 5.15) [+1.20]	4.45 (4.37 to 4.54) [+2.77]	1	1
2014	4.32 (4.23 to 4.40) [−14.62]	3.71 (3.63 to 3.79) [−16.63]	0.84 (0.82 to 0.87)	0.83 (0.81 to 0.86)
2015	4.55 (4.45 to 4.64) [+5.32]	3.92 (3.83 to 4.01) [+5.66]	0.88 (0.86 to 0.91)	0.88 (0.85 to 0.90)
2016	4.38 (4.28 to 4.48) [−3.74]	3.81 (3.72 to 3.91) [−2.81]	0.84 (0.82 to 0.87)	0.85 (0.82 to 0.87)
2017	4.24 (4.14 to 4.35) [−3.20]	3.44 (3.35 to 3.53) [−9.71]	0.81 (0.79 to 0.84)	0.75 (0.72 to 0.77)
2018	3.56 (3.46 to 3.66) [−16.04]	2.85 (2.76 to 2.93) [−17.15]	0.68 (0.66 to 0.70)	0.62 (0.60 to 0.65)

*Adjusted for other variables considered: age, deprivation and calendar year. Stratified by gender due to significant age-gender interaction.

IRR, incidence risk ratio; PYAR, person years at risk.