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. 2021 Mar 3;13(6):514–519. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihab006

Table 1.

Association of country-level socio-economic indicators with COVID-19 7-d empirical reproductive ratios (Re). The dataset analysed included 6894 observations from 113 countries. Except for average household size (n=97), extreme poverty prevalence (n=80) and child malnutrition prevalence (n=68), data were available for >100 countries

Socio-economic indicator Tertile cut-offs Re fold-change in highest vs lowest tertile (95% CI)
Gross domestic product per capita (dollars) >21 546 vs ≤6367 0.87 (0.79 to 0.97)
Population density (people per km²) >119 vs ≤48 0.96 (0.87 to 1.06)
Average household size, n >4.5 vs ≤3.2 1.24 (1.12 to 1.37)
Median age (years) >34 vs ≤25 0.85 (0.77 to 0.94)
People >65 y of age (%) >10 vs ≤4 0.83 (0.76 to 0.92)
Life expectancy (years) >76.9 vs ≤70.8 0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)
Health expenditures (dollars per capita) >671 vs ≤115 0.85 (0.76 to 0.94)
Physicians per 1000 population, n >2.5 vs ≤0.7 0.85 (0.76 to 0.93)
Disability-adjusted life years lost due to any (rate per 100 000) >35 536 vs ≤27 396 1.06 (0.96 to 1.17)
Disability-adjusted life years lost due to communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional diseases (rate per 100 000) >7818 vs <2272 1.18 (1.07 to 1.30)
Disability-adjusted life years lost due to non-communicable diseases (rate per 100 000) >21 657 vs <16 841 0.85 0.77 to 0.94)
Total fertility rate (births per woman) >2.8 vs <1.8 1.18 (1.07 to 1.29)
Extreme poverty prevalence (%) >8.6 vs ≤1.0 1.29 (1.15 to 1.46)
Child malnutrition prevalence (%) >29.2 vs <12.3 1.03 (0.91 to 1.18)
Mortality rate in children <5 y of age (per 1000 live births) >30 vs ≤8 1.15 (1.04 to 1.28)
Maternal mortality ratio (per 100 000 live births) >142 vs ≤19 1.13 (1.02 to 1.25)
World Bank Gini coefficient >41.4 vs ≤33.8 1.21 (1.10 to 1.34)