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. 2021 Mar 24;129(3):037005. doi: 10.1289/EHP8719

Table 3.

Associations between black carbon, black carbon residuals, and PM2.5 with incident all-site and lung cancer in the Gazel cohort as HR and their 95% CI.

Exposure HR CI Cases Person-years p-Value AIC
All cancers
 Cumulative black carbona
 Model 1 1.16 1.06, 1.27 3,711 293,210 0.002 66,056
 Model 2 1.15 1.05, 1.26 0.003 65,991
 Model 3 1.17 1.06, 1.29 0.001 65,978
 Black carbon residualsb
  Regressed on PM2.5 1.05 1.00, 1.11 0.056 65,984
  Regressed on NO2 1.05 1.02, 1.10 0.005 65,980
 Cumulative PM2.5c 1.20 1.06, 1.34 0.003 65,978
 Cumulative NO2d 1.05 0.97, 1.14 0.206 65,986
Lung cancer
 Cumulative black carbona
 Model 1 1.19 0.87, 1.63 349 254,154 0.275 6,140
 Model 2 1.07 0.77, 1.47 0.694 5,880
 Model 3 1.31 0.93, 1.83 0.118 5,842
 Black carbon residualsb
  Regressed on PM2.5 1.24 1.05, 1.47 0.011 5,838
  Regressed on NO2 1.14 1.01, 1.28 0.030 6,013
 Cumulative PM2.5c 1.01 0.68, 1.51 0.942 5,845
 Cumulative NO2e 1.06 0.88, 1.27 0.568 6,018

Note: All-site cancer cases were defined as the whole ICD-10 chapter except C77–79 (secondary malignant neoplasms) and C44 (nonmelanoma skin cancers); we used C34 to identify lung cancer cases. Participants were excluded from the analysis if they were diagnosed with cancer before 1999. Exposures were lagged 10 y. Cox model with attained age as underlying time-scale. Missing covariate data were imputed using MICE. Model-based estimates were pooled following Rubin’s rules. Model 1: adjusted for sex, calendar time, age at inclusion. Model 2: Model 1 plus cumulative smoking pack-years and passive smoking. Model 3 (main model): Model 2 plus alcohol use, body mass index, education, socioeconomic status, family status, fruit and vegetable consumption, occupational exposure to nine lung carcinogens. AIC. Akaike Information Criterion; CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.

a

HRs are for one IQR increase in ln-transformed cumulative black carbon (IQR=1.0).

b

HRs are for IQR increases in ln-transformed cumulative black carbon residuals regressed on ln-transformed cumulative PM2.5 (IQR=0.3) or on ln-transformed cumulative NO2 (IQR=0.2), respectively. Adjusted for Model 3 covariates.

c

HRs are for an IQR increase in ln-transformed cumulative PM2.5 (IQR=0.9) adjusted for Model 3 covariates.

d

HRs are for an IQR increase in ln-transformed cumulative NO2 (IQR=1.2) adjusted for Model 3 covariates.

e

HRs are for an IQR increase in cumulative NO2 (IQR=300μg/m3) adjusted for Model 3 covariates.