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. 2021 Mar 25;24(2):402–419. doi: 10.1007/s10729-021-09553-5

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Fig. 8 — Left: the number of daily infections in ROAZ region NAZ West and the trend given by our prediction method using the Richards’ curve fitted on the (cumulative) daily number of infections. Right: the daily number of autonomous direct arrivals to the LUMC. The trend and 80% prediction interval given by our forecasting method using the Richards’ curve fitted on this arrival data is also shown for the LUMC. Both plots are shown for the period starting from 8-07-2020 until 14-10-2020