TABLE 3.
Estimated 90-Day Financial Impact for an Average US Hospital Accommodating COVID-19 Cases Under a Scenario Where Demand Surge Falls Short of Capacity, by Rate of Available Capacity Filled, Elective Admissions, and Medical Worker Absenteeism
| Percent of Available Capacity Filled | Percent of Available Capacity Filled | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absenteeism | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 |
| Rate (%) | Hospital rate of elective admission=15% | Hospital rate of elective admission=20% | ||||||||
| 0 | −$1,531,852 | −$1,084,594 | −$637,336 | −$190,078 | $257,180 | −$2,127,662 | −$1,616,510 | −$1,105,358 | −$594,205 | −$83,053 |
| 10 | −$1,576,578 | −$1,174,046 | −$771,514 | −$368,981 | $33,551 | −$2,178,777 | −$1,718,740 | −$1,258,703 | −$798,666 | −$338,629 |
| 20 | −$1,621,304 | −$1,263,497 | −$905,691 | −$547,885 | −$190,078 | −$2,229,892 | −$1,820,970 | −$1,412,049 | −$1,003,127 | −$594,205 |
| 30 | −$1,666,030 | −$1,352,949 | −$1,039,868 | −$726,788 | −$413,707 | −$2,281,007 | −$1,923,201 | −$1,565,394 | −$1,207,588 | −$849,781 |
| 40 | −$1,710,755 | −$1,442,401 | −$1,174,046 | −$905,691 | −$637,336 | −$2,332,122 | −$2,025,431 | −$1,718,740 | −$1,412,049 | −$1,105,358 |
| Rate (%) | Hospital rate of elective admission=25% | Hospital rate of elective admission=30% | ||||||||
| 0 | −$2,723,471 | −$2,148,425 | −$1,573,379 | −$998,333 | −$423,287 | −$3,319,280 | −$2,680,340 | −$2,041,400 | −$1,402,460 | −$763,520 |
| 10 | −$2,780,976 | −$2,263,434 | −$1,745,893 | −$1,228,351 | −$710,810 | −$3,383,174 | −$2,808,128 | −$2,233,082 | −$1,658,036 | −$1,082,990 |
| 20 | −$2,838,480 | −$2,378,443 | −$1,918,407 | −$1,458,370 | −$998,333 | −$3,447,068 | −$2,935,916 | −$2,424,764 | −$1,913,612 | −$1,402,460 |
| 30 | −$2,895,985 | −$2,493,453 | −$2,090,920 | −$1,688,388 | −$1,285,856 | −$3,510,962 | −$3,063,704 | −$2,616,446 | −$2,169,188 | −$1,721,930 |
| 40 | −$2,953,489 | −$2,608,462 | −$2,263,434 | −$1,918,407 | −$1,573,379 | −$3,574,856 | −$3,191,492 | −$2,808,128 | −$2,424,764 | −$2,041,400 |
Analysis based on a hospital admission rate of 207/100,000 among those age 20–60 and 379/100,000 among those age 60+, normally unoccupied bed capacity fixed at 20%. Available capacity is defined as unoccupied beds+typical elective beds+10% created additional capacity.
Source: Author’s results from simulation analysis.