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. 2021 Mar 26;194:149–155. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2021.03.011

Table 2.

Individualized estimates of the incubation period from China.

Locale Samples Mean Median 95% CI Interquartile Percentiles
Reference
2.5 5 95 97.5 99
Outside Wuhan 88 6.4 5.6–7.7 2.1 2.7 10.3 11.1 11.9 57
Shenzhen, Guangdong 183 4.8 4.2–5.4 1.6 14.0 70
Changsha, Hunan 149 7.48 7 4–10 27
Shiyan, Hubei 180 6.5 5.1 5.4–6.7 1.2 14.3 18.7 58
Wuhan centric 1211 8.5 7.2–9.2 14.6 21.2 62
Beijing 62 4.5 71
Mainland China 1099 4 2–7 72
Mainland China 85 (pediatric) 9 6–13 73
Shanghai 10 6 3.5–9.5 35
Outside Hubei 136 8.3 7.4–9.2 2.3 (90%ile 14.2) 63
Outside Wuhan 111 5.1 4.5–5.8 2.2 11.5 55
Hubei and non-Hubei 175 1.8
7.2
1.0–2.7
6.1–8.4
3.2
14.6
59
Wuhan 425 5.2 4.1–7.0 12.5 74
Outside Wuhan 158 5.6 5.0 5.0–6.3 10.8 14.2 75
Jilin 87 10.4 (range 2–25) 76
Mainland China 1158 7.2 6.9–7.5 15.1 18.7 60
Outside Hubei 59 5.8 5.0 5.1–6.6 2.7 12.9 64
Outside Wuhan 1084 7.8 7.2–8.5 (90%ile 14.3) 65
Outside Wuhan 104 6 77
Outside Hubei 98 5.3 4.6–6.0 11.1 16.1 39
Mainland China 24 4.2 3.5–5.1 78
Wuxi, Jiangsu 46 4.8 3.6–5.9 12 79
Tianjin 135 7.5 6.8–8.6 40
Outside Hubei 106 4.9 4.4–5.4 0.8 1.1 9.9 11.1 12.5 80
Shiyan, Hubei 178 5.4 4.8–6.0 1.1 13.7 15 17.8 61
Shanghai 132 7.2 6.4–7.9 16.0 20.4 81
Dequan 18 8 4–12 82
Sichuan 77 7–10 2–15 83

CI = confidence interval; mean, median, confidence intervals, and percentiles are expressed in days.