Table 3.

Comparison of the value of $R_t$ at lockdown (LD) and its 95% CIs between models 1 and 2 for all eleven countries analyzed in Flaxman et al. [1] and an additional three countries of Greece, Netherlands and Portugal, for the time horizon March 4th to July 12th.

Country	Model 1			Model 2
	$R_t$ one day before LD	$R_t$ at LD	% change	$R_t$ at LD
UK	3.08	0.81	$-$73.25	1.20
	(2.32, 3.78)	(0.76, 0.86)	( $-$79.28, $-$64.03)	(0.72, 1.82)
Austria	1.82	0.61	$-$64.58	0.72
	(1.16, 2.81)	(0.55, 0.67)	( $-$78.02, $-$47.53)	(0.30, 1.42)
Belgium	2.10	0.70	$-$65.58	1.43
	(1.46, 2.98)	(0.67, 0.73)	( $-$76.83, $-$51.27)	(0.90, 2.05)
Denmark	1.73	0.68	$-$59.12	0.56
	(1.16, 2.48)	(0.60, 0.76)	( $-$72.79, $-$41.89)	(0.25, 1.05)
France	2.26	0.71	$-$67.37	1.77
	(1.59, 3.12)	(0.67, 0.75)	( $-$77.65, $-$53.86)	(1.11, 2.60)
Germany	3.31	0.71	$-$78.13	1.12
	(2.51, 4.19)	(0.66, 0.76)	( $-$83.73, $-$70.87)	(0.69, 1.67)
Italy	1.74	0.75	$-$55.66	1.41
	(1.26, 2.32)	(0.71, 0.79)	( $-$68.31, $-$39.35)	(0.88, 2.03)
Norway	1.52	0.57	$-$60.72	0.53
	(0.97, 2.22)	(0.48, 0.66)	( $-$74.83, $-$40.59)	(0.27, 0.88)
Spain	3.47	0.75	$-$77.74	1.74
	(2.51, 4.46)	(0.72, 0.79)	( $-$83.34, $-$69.56)	(1.07, 2.49)
Sweden	–	–	–	–
Switzerland	1.76	0.61	$-$64.49	0.96
	(1.25, 2.41)	(0.57, 0.64)	( $-$75.75, $-$50.23)	(0.58, 1.39)
Greece	1.46	0.69	$-$51.03	0.35
	(0.90, 2.05)	(0.63, 0.74)	( $-$67.21, $-$22.64)	(0.16, 0.61)
Netherlands	1.77	0.66	$-$62.14	1.00
	(1.34, 2.25)	(0.61, 0.70)	( $-$72.27, $-$49.34)	(0.61, 1.44)
Portugal	1.74	0.83	$-$50.31	0.66
	(1.12, 2.39)	(0.80, 0.86)	( $-$65.50, $-$25.24)	(0.36, 1.07)