Table 2.

Single-population model. Predictions for $C$ and $D$ at September 10 if additional lockdown measures had been applied on August 10.

	$\zeta =1$	$\zeta =0.9$	$\zeta =0.7$	$\zeta =0.5$
$C$ (total)	2,119,475 (2,074,088–2,154,804)	2,044,226 (2,003,756–2,078,877)	1,921,479 (1,886,812–1,955,272)	1,829,307 (1,793,600–1,861,605)
$C$ (from Aug. 10)	695,412 (679,573–708,702)	620,571 (607,195–633,057)	500,540 (481,878–515,504)	407,116 (385,326–427,064)
$D$ (total)	99,184 (98,760–99,489)	97,656 (97,218–97,997)	95,051 (94,525–95,483)	92,870 (92,261–93 422)
$D$ (from Aug. 10)	34,327 (34,061–34,513)	32,814 (32,516–33,034)	30,195 (29,759–30,572)	28,030 (27,458–28,545)