Table 10.

Prediction of cumulative confirmed cases according to the best models with 95% confidence interval.

Date	Real Data	Based on RMSE and MAE ARIMA (3,2,5)			Based on MAPE ARIMA (1,2,5)
		Forecast	UCL	LCL	Forecast	UCL	LCL
28 December 2020	58,714	58,532	58,636	58,427	58,533	58,640	58,425
29 December 2020	59,764	59,456	59,668	59,243	59,477	59,697	59,256
30 December 2020	60,731	60,428	60,756	60,101	60,417	60,755	60,079
31 December 2020	61,758	61,448	61,912	60,984	61,358	61,832	60,883
1 January 2021	62,578	62,432	63,046	61,818	62,248	62,875	61,622
2 January 2021	63,235	63,327	64,106	62,547	63,113	63,920	62,306
3 January 2021	64,255	64,153	65,125	63,180	63,964	64,983	62,945
4 January 2021	64,969	64,975	66,175	63,775	64,809	66,070	63,548
5 January 2021	65,807	65,847	67,308	64,386	65,651	67,181	64,121
6 January 2021	66,676	66,770	68,515	65,025	66,493	68,318	64,669
7 January 2021	67,350	67,710	69,752	65,667	67,336	69,477	65,195
8 January 2021	67,991	68,628	70,978	66,278	68,181	70,660	65,702
9 January 2021	68,648	69,515	72,185	66,845	69,028	71,864	66,192
10 January 2021	69,099	70,389	73,394	67,384	69,877	73,088	66,665