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. 2021 Apr;18(4):590–597. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.202008-940OC

Table 2.

Primary and key secondary outcomes for randomized patients

COVID ordinal scale at 14 d Results
Results of primary ordinal regression model
 OR for a less favorable COVID ordinal outcome at 14 d in hydroxychloroquine arm compared with the azithromycin arm (95% credible interval)* 1.07 (0.63–1.83)*
Posterior probabilities from primary ordinal regression model for 14-d COVID ordinal outcome
 P1 = Pr(OR < 1) (any benefit of hydroxychloroquine over azithromycin) 0.40
 P2 = Pr(OR < 1/1.25) (at least moderate benefit of hydroxychloroquine over azithromycin) 0.14
 P3 = Pr(OR > 1) (any benefit of azithromycin over hydroxychloroquine) 0.60
 P4 = Pr(OR > 1.25) (at least moderate benefit of azithromycin over hydroxychloroquine) 0.29
 P5 = Pr(1/1.2 < OR <1.2) (negligible difference between the two agents) 0.48
Key secondary endpoints, OR (95% credible interval)
 COVID ordinal scale at 7 d 1.16 (0.68–1.96)*
 Hospital-free days at 28 d 0.91 (0.54–1.54)
 ICU-free days at 28 d 0.85 (0.50–1.46)
 28-d mortality Too few events

Definition of abbreviations: COVID = coronavirus disease; ICU = intensive care unit; OR = odds ratio; Pr = probability.

*

An OR >1 favors azithromycin over hydroxychloroquine for this comparison.

An OR <1 favors azithromycin over hydroxychloroquine for this comparison.