Table 2.
Item | US-ICER [7, 8] | Johnson et al. [12] (US) | UK [9] | The Netherlands [11] |
---|---|---|---|---|
Clinical effectiveness | ||||
Surrogate endpoint used | VA and VF (secondary endpoints in phase III clinical trial) instead of multi-luminance mobility test (primary endpoint in RCT) | |||
Rare disease (number of eligible patients) | 1000–3000 [8] | 1000–2000 [12] | 86 [9] | 45 [11] |
Serious condition | Severe visual impairment throughout childhood with deteriorating vision over time resulting in complete blindness by 30–40 years of age | |||
Single-arm trial | RCT with intervention and control arm | |||
Paediatric population | Age in RCT: mean 15, median 11, interquartile range 6–20 years | |||
Reporting of adverse consequences and risks | Only short-term adverse events included | No adverse events included | Only short-term adverse events included | Only short-term adverse events included |
Size of clinical trial | Intervention arm n = 29; control arm n = 9 | |||
Length of clinical trial | 1-year data used in model; follow-up data until 3–4 years available | |||
Extrapolation to long-term outcomes, number of years extrapolation of treatment effect | 10 years, followed by 10-year waning period from full treatment effect to natural history (i.e. no treatment effect) | Lifetime, i.e. > 70 years | 40 years, followed by natural history (i.e. no treatment effect) | 20 years, followed by natural history (i.e. no treatment effect) |
Elements of value | ||||
Severe disease | Not considered | Considered in cost-per-QALY threshold | ||
Value to caregivers | Not considered | Considered in a scenario analysis | ||
Insurance value | Not considered | |||
Scientific spillovers | Not considered | |||
Lack of alternatives | Before the introduction of VN, there were no interventions that alter the natural history of RPE65-mediated IRD. Patients were treated with BSC | |||
Substantial improvement in life expectancy | RPE65-mediated IRD does not affect mortality risk and therefore treatment with VN does not improve life expectancy directly | |||
Other considerations | ||||
Discounting | ||||
Different discount rates explored | Not varied in scenario analysis | Not varied in scenario analysis | 1.5% and 0% in scenario analyses | 0%, 1.5% and 5% for costs and outcomes in scenario analyses |
Uncertainty | ||||
Alternative payment models explored | Threshold analysis to estimate the maximum price of VN in order to be cost effective | Not considered | Confidential simple discount PAS | Pay for performance agreement (‘no cure, no pay’) considered in a scenario analysis |
BSC best supportive care, IRD inherited retinal dystrophy, PAS patient access scheme, QALY quality-adjusted life-year, RCT randomized controlled trial, UK United Kingdom, US United States, US ICER United States Institute for Cost-Effectiveness Research, VA visual acuity, VF visual field, VN voretigene neparvovec