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. 2021 Feb 14;67(4):653–661. doi: 10.1093/clinchem/hvaa332

Table 3.

Association of growth derived factor (GDF)-15 with cardiometabolic outcomes among ARIC study participants at visit 6 (2016–2017).

Odds Ratio (95% Confidence Interval)
Models GDF-15 quartiles Diabetes Obesity Prevalent ASCVD Prevalent HF High TnT (hscTnT ≥ 31 ng/L for male and hscTnT ≥ 17 ng/L for female) High NT-proBNP (BNP ≥ 300 pg/mL)
Model 1 Q1 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
Q2 1.60 (1.28, 1.99) 1.44 (1.18, 1.76) 1.31 (0.99, 1.72) 1.31 (0.87, 1.98) 1.74 (1.24, 2.46) 1.45 (1.14, 1.86)
Q3 2.33 (1.87, 2.90) 1.41 (1.15, 1.74) 1.80 (1.38, 2.35) 1.84 (1.24, 2.73) 2.72 (1.95, 3.78) 1.98 (1.55, 2.52)
Q4 6.77 (5.41, 8.48) 1.57 (1.28, 1.94) 2.46 (1.90, 3.20) 4.96 (3.45, 7.14) 8.06 (5.88, 11.05) 4.78 (3.77, 6.05)
Model 2 Q1 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
Q2 1.41 (1.11, 1.79) 1.28 (1.03, 1.60) 1.21 (0.90, 1.63) 1.08 (0.69, 1.69) 1.13 (0.78, 1.63) 1.12 (0.85, 1.48)
Q3 1.78 (1.40, 2.26) 1.03 (0.82, 1.29) 1.48 (1.11, 1.98) 1.47 (0.96, 2.24) 1.36 (0.95, 1.97) 1.21 (0.91, 1.60)
Q4 4.86 (3.80, 6.21) 0.89 (0.70, 1.14) 1.58 (1.17, 2.13) 3.20 (2.13, 4.82) 2.28 (1.55, 3.35) 2.03 (1.49, 2.77)
Model 3 Q1 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
Q2 1.12 (0.87, 1.45) 1.27* (1.02, 1.58) 1.21 (0.89, 1.63) 1.08 (0.69, 1.69) 1.13 (0.78, 1.63) 1.11 (0.85, 1.47)
Q3 1.17 (0.90, 1.53) 1.00 (0.80, 1.25) 1.47 (1.10, 1.97) 1.47 (0.96, 2.25) 1.36 (0.95, 1.96) 1.19 (0.90, 1.58)
Q4 2.48 (1.89, 3.26) 0.84 (0.65, 1.07) 1.57 (1.16, 2.11) 3.22 (2.13, 4.85) 2.27 (1.54, 3.34) 1.98 (1.46, 2.70)
Model 4 Q1 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference) 1 (Reference)
Q2 1.10 (0.85, 1.43) 1.26 (1.01, 1.58) 1.19 (0.88, 1.60) 1.05 (0.67, 1.64)
Q3 1.14 (0.88, 1.49) 0.97 (0.77, 1.23) 1.42 (1.06, 1.90) 1.36 (0.89, 2.10)
Q4 2.23 (1.68, 2.96) 0.88 (0.68, 1.13) 1.27 (0.93, 1.74) 2.19 (1.43, 3.37)

ASCVD: atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, HF: heart failure, hs-cTnT: High-sensitive cardiac troponin T, NT-proBNP: NT-proB-type Natriuretic Peptide.

Model 1 adjusts for age, sex, and race-center.

Model 2a (diabetes outcome): Model 1 + current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medications, use of cholesterol lowering medications, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides and body mass index; Model 2 b (obesity outcome): Model 1 + current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medications, use of cholesterol lowering medications, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, and diabetes status; Model 2c (ASCVD or HF): outcomes includes for Model 1 + current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medications, use of cholesterol lowering medications, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, BMI, and diabetes status; Model 2d: (increased hsTnT or BNP): Model 1 + current smoking, systolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medications, use of cholesterol lowering medications, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, body mass index, diabetes status, eGFR and prevalent CVD/HF.

Model 3 adjusts for Model 2 + C-reactive protein—Model 3 for the diabetes outcome adjusts for Model2 + C reactive protein+ metformin use.

Model 4a (diabetes, ASCVD and HF): Model 3 + hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP.

Model 4 b (obesity): Model 3 + adiponectin (Visit 5).