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. 2021 Mar 30;11(3):e045603. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045603

Table 2.

ORs and adjusted ORs of the association between e-cigarette use and subsequent combustible cigarette use for: (1) never-smokers at baseline, (2) non-smokers* (never or no current use) at baseline and (3) former smokers at baseline

Authors/year Country Baseline cigarette use E-cigarette use Follow-up cigarette use OR (95% CI) Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Initiation in never smokers at baseline
Berry et al26 USA Never Ever Ever 4.09 (2.97 to 5.63)
Chien et al27 Taiwan Never Ever Ever 2.44 (1.94 to 3.09) 2.14 (1.66 to 2.75)
Conner et al47 UK (England) Never Ever Ever 4.03 (3.33 to 4.88) 2.78 (2.20 to 3.51)
McMillen et al50 USA Never Current† Ever 16.4 (9.8 to 27.5) 6.6 (3.7 to 11.8)
Pénzes et al46 Romania Never Ever Ever 2.75 (1.52 to 4.96) 3.57 (1.96 to 6.49)
Current use in non-smokers at baseline
Aleyan et al28 Canada Non-smokers* Current† Current† Wave 1–2: 1.54 (1.37 to 1.74)
Wave 2–3: 1.18 (1.08 to 1.29)
Barrington-Trimis et al48 USA Never Current† Current† NHW to dual use: 7.44 (3.63 to 15.3)
HW to dual use: 3.64 (1.62 to 8.18)
Bold et al45 USA No current* Current† Current† Wave 1–2: 7.08 (2.34 to 21.42)
Wave 2–3: 3.87 (1.86 to 8.06)
Conner et al47 UK (England) Never Ever Current† 3.38 (2.72 to 4.21) 2.17 (1.76 to 2.69)
Regular‡ 3.60 (2.35 to 5.51) 1.27 (1.17 to 1.39)
Kinnunen et al29 Finland Never Ever nicotine-containing Daily 11.52 (4.91 to 27.01) 8.50 (2.14 to 29.19) With school clustering: 2.92 (1.09 to 7.85)
Ever non-nicotine containing 1.88 (0.25 to 14.45) 2.50 (0.25 to 12.05) With school clustering: 0.94 (0.22 to 4.08)
McMillen et al50 USA Never Ever (not current) Established§ 5.9 (1.7 to 20.7) 2.5 (0.6 to 10.9)
Current† 25.5 (10.6 to 61.4) 8.0 (2.8 to 22.7)
Osibogun et al49 USA Non-smokers* Current† Regular‡ Year 1: 16.4 (7.8 to 34.5) Year 1: 5.0 (1.9 to 12.8)
Year 2: 11.1 (3.5 to 35.2) Year 2: 3.4 (1.0 to 11.5)
Relapse in former smokers at baseline
Brose et al30 UK ≥2-month ex-smokers Ever Ever 1.52 (0.88 to 2.62) 1.13 (0.61 to 2.07)
Non-daily 3.32 (1.23 to 8.96) 2.45 (0.85 to 7.08)
Dai and Leventhal51 USA >12-month ex-smokers Current† Ever 6.36 (4.49 to 9.00) 2.00 (1.25 to 3.20)
Occasional 5.79 (1.50 to 22.33) 1.56 (0.34 to 7.14)
Prior 9.68 (4.74 to 19.75) 3.77 (1.48 to 9.65)
McMillen et al50 USA ≥5 years ex-smokers Ever (not current†) Ever 5.4 (2.9 to 10.2) 3.3 (1.6 to 6.7)
Current† 7.6 (3.0 to 19.4) 5.2 (1.6 to 16.3)

*Non-smokers defined as never or no current (past 30-day) use.

†Current defined as past 30-day use.

‡Regular defined as ≥20 days/30 days.

§Established defined as ≥100 combustible cigarettes and currently smokes every day or some.

HW, Hispanic white; NHW, non-Hispanic white.