Table 3:
Bias | RMSE | ASE | ESE | CLD | Coverage | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
G-computation | ||||||
True | 0.000 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.017 | 0.065 | 93.5% |
Main-effects | −0.023 | 0.029 | 0.017 | 0.018 | 0.067 | 72.3% |
Machine learning | 0.026 | 0.031 | 0.015 | 0.017 | 0.058 | 56.5% |
IPW | ||||||
True | 0.007 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.024 | 0.097 | 94.9% |
Main-effects | −0.022 | 0.032 | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.091 | 86.6% |
Machine learning | 0.010 | 0.023 | 0.023 | 0.021 | 0.090 | 94.8% |
AIPW | ||||||
True | 0.000 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.077 | 93.9% |
Main-effects | −0.016 | 0.026 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.076 | 84.4% |
Machine learning | 0.004 | 0.020 | 0.017 | 0.019 | 0.066 | 91.3% |
TMLE | ||||||
True | 0.000 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.077 | 93.6% |
Main-effects | −0.017 | 0.025 | 0.019 | 0.018 | 0.075 | 84.9% |
Machine learning | −0.002 | 0.020 | 0.017 | 0.020 | 0.065 | 89.5% |
DC-AIPW | ||||||
True | 0.000 | 0.021 | 0.022 | 0.021 | 0.085 | 95.2% |
Main-effects | −0.015 | 0.026 | 0.027 | 0.022 | 0.106 | 92.4% |
Machine learning | −0.001 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.082 | 95.6% |
DC-TMLE | ||||||
True | 0.001 | 0.020 | 0.021 | 0.020 | 0.084 | 95.8% |
Main-effects | −0.018 | 0.025 | 0.024 | 0.018 | 0.094 | 91.4% |
Machine learning | 0.000 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.079 | 95.2% |
RMSE: root mean squared error, ASE: average standard error, ESE: empirical standard error, CLD: confidence limit difference, Coverage: 95% confidence limit coverage of the true value
IPW: inverse probability of treatment weighted estimator, AIPW: augmented inverse probability weighted estimator, TMLE: targeted maximum likelihood estimator, DC-AIPW: double cross-fit AIPW, DC-TMLE: double cross-fit TMLE.
True: correct model specification. Main-effects: all variables were assumed to be linearly related to the outcome and no interaction terms were included in the model. Machine learning: super-learner with 10-fold cross-validation including empirical mean, main-effects logistic regression without regularization, generalized additive models, random forest, and a neural network.