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. 2021 Mar 31;4(3):e213984. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.3984

Table 2. Adjusted Mean Perceived Percentage Chance of Infection With COVID-19 in the Next 3 Months and Hospitalization and Death If Infected, by CDC Risk Factor.

Characteristic Perceived chance, % (95% CI)a
Infection P value Hospitalized, if infected P value Dying, if infected P value
CDC risk factorb,c
No. of conditions
0 22.7 (21.5-24.0) NA 17.6 (16.4-18.8) NA 13.6 (12.5-14.7) NA
1 23.7 (22.3-25.2) .31 22.4 (20.7-24.1) <.001 17.7 (16.2-19.3) <.001
2 25.7 (23.7-27.8) .02 25.9 (23.6-28.3) <.001 19.2 (17.0-21.4) <.001
≥3 31.0 (28.6-33.4) <.001 41.8 (38.7-45.0) <.001 34.3 (31.2-37.5) <.001
Age, y
18-59 25.2 (24.1-26.2) NA 20.4 (19.4-21.5) NA 15.6 (14.6-16.6) NA
60-69 23.1 (21.4-24.7) .04 25.6 (23.5-27.6) <.001 20.8 (18.8-22.8) <.001
≥70 21.7 (19.7-23.7) .003 31.4 (28.5-34.3) <.001 25.6 (22.8-28.4) <.001
Specific conditiond,e
High blood pressure 23.9 (22.4-25.4) .50 23.9 (22.2-25.5) .13 18.2 (16.6-19.8) .59
Obesity 25.8 (23.9-27.7) .10 26.5 (24.3-28.6) <.001 19.6 (17.6-21.6) .05
Asthma 25.0 (22.7-27.3) .53 26.8 (24.2-29.5) .001 20.5 (18.1-22.9) .02
Kidney disease 28.7 (23.6-33.8) .09 28.1 (22.0-34.1) .08 22.5 (16.1-28.8) .15
Cancer 27.3 (24.0-30.5) .07 29.4 (25.6-33.2) <.001 24.2 (20.4-28.1) .001
Diabetes 27.4 (24.8-29.9) .01 30.2 (27.1-33.2) <.001 23.7 (20.8-26.5) <.001
Autoimmune disorder 28.7 (25.6-31.8) .005 30.3 (26.2-34.4) <.001 24.3 (20.6-28.0) <.001
Heart disease 27.4 (24.3-30.5) .041 31.8 (27.5-36.1) <.001 28.3 (23.9-32.7) <.001
Chronic lung disease 31.0 (26.9-35.1) <.001 40.4 (34.6-46.2) <.001 37.3 (31.3-43.2) <.001

Abbreviations: CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; NA, not applicable.

a

Adjusted perceived percentage based on multivariable ordinary least squares regressions reported in eTables 4-6 in the Supplement, which control for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and education.

b

P values are associated with the coefficients on number of conditions relative to 0 conditions and age relative to those aged 18 to 59 y.

c

Estimates are based on models that also include indicators for number of conditions.

d

P values are associated with the coefficients relative to having vs not having the given condition.

e

Estimates are based on analogous models but include indicators of specific conditions instead of number of conditions.