TABLE 2.
Country | Hubei (China) | Iran | India | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Models | MAPE | MAE | RMSE | MAPE | MAE | RMSE | MAPE | MAE | RMSE |
Daily cumulative number of confirmed cases | |||||||||
PR | 32.32 | 22,854.48 | 25,854.48 | 5.78 | 25,669.04 | 29,622.75 | 2.55 | 154,437.44 | 193,090.93 |
SVR | 0.02 | 10.80 | 10.89 | 17.34 | 75,997.33 | 77,097.60 | 81.43 | 4,736,407.58 | 4,743,009.46 |
DT | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.21 | 23,112.84 | 26,477.11 | 10.08 | 601,536.69 | 677,737.28 |
GBR | 0.007 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 5.26 | 23,316.20 | 26,654.81 | 10.10 | 602,666.34 | 678,740.12 |
RF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.51 | 24,420.93 | 27,626.36 | 10.85 | 646,264.90 | 717,732.36 |
KNN | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | 24,520.34 | 27,714.27 | 10.91 | 649,748.69 | 720,870.85 |
Holt winter | 0.0002 | 0.018 | 0.019 | 0.29 | 1,329.28 | 1,640.21 | 0.44 | 26,939.18 | 33,528.18 |
ARIMA | 0.40 | 273.73 | 335.69 | 0.75 | 3,355.12 | 4,079.23 | 1.61 | 97,391.75 | 119,710.00 |
SARIMA | 0.01 | 10.8 | 0.007 | 0.81 | 3,638.89 | 4,365.41 | 1.32 | 79,729.27 | 98,717.20 |
Daily cumulative number of deaths | |||||||||
PR | 37.40 | 1,687.79 | 1981.23 | 4.88 | 1,245.73 | 1,534.01 | 0.93 | 868.14 | 908.25 |
SVR | 0.06 | 2.81 | 2.81 | 34.55 | 8,675.00 | 8,740.14 | 6.78 | 6,325.34 | 6,625.19 |
DT | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.84 | 1,230.38 | 1,412.56 | 8.31 | 7,825.23 | 8,810.17 |
GBR | 0.007 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 4.88 | 1,240.93 | 1,421.76 | 8.33 | 7,852.31 | 8,834.23 |
RF | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.15 | 1,309.80 | 1,482.25 | 8.90 | 8,372.49 | 9,299.65 |
KNN | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.19 | 1,318.38 | 1,489.84 | 8.94 | 8,412.23 | 9,335.44 |
Holt winter | 0.00002 | 0.00009 | 0.00009 | 0.24 | 60.78 | 65.94 | 0.40 | 387.29 | 504.58 |
ARIMA | 2.87 | 129.65 | 148.38 | 0.12 | 30.28 | 33.31 | 0.55 | 531.91 | 699.18 |
SARIMA | 0.00007 | 0.0006 | 0.0007 | 0.09 | 22.65 | 25.87 | 0.47 | 452.77 | 602.94 |
Three model values were bolded due to those provided best results than other.