Table 2.

Coverage of the 50% and 90% prediction intervals (PI) for 7-day-ahead predictions of the 7-day moving average. Models with superspreading improve coverage significantly over that of Epi∗.

Country	Model	Coverage, 50% PI	Coverage, 90% PI
Austria	Momentum, k = 0.072	0.46	0.79
	Generation, k = 0.072	0.47	0.73
	Epi∗, k → ∞	0.16	0.38
Croatia	Momentum, k = 0.072	0.48	0.85
	Generation, k = 0.072	0.49	0.77
	Epi∗, k → ∞	0.18	0.47
Czechia	Momentum, k = 0.072	0.40	0.69
	Generation, k = 0.072	0.39	0.66
	Epi∗, k → ∞	0.12	0.32