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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Oncol. 2020 Aug;21(8):1077–1088. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30317-X

Table 1:

Model Data Sources Overview

Model Parameter Data Source # of model countries
reported
Reference
Cancer Cases
Diagnosed cancer cases Estimated annual diagnosed cases by cancer type and age group Cancer-specific: 166-178 GLOBOCAN 20186 (see Appendix pg 7-8)
Stage distribution Literature review of stage distribution at diagnosis Cancer-specific (mean: 32, range: 3-84) Literature review (see Appendix pg 9-49)
Cancer Survival
Maximum achievable survival by cancer and stage SEER 2010-2016 5-year relative survival used as initial proxy 1 (USA) SEER 2010-20167 (see Appendix pg 50)
Survival impact of treatment/imaging modalities Prior probabilities based on survey of expert opinions; Prior probability of needing modern modalities based on SEER 1973-2014 NA; 1 (USA) Expert opinion; SEER 1973-20147 (see Appendix pg 51-81)
Cancer Treatment
Chemotherapy availability Reported availability of chemotherapy agents 94 Cohen P et al. 20198 (see Appendix pg 82-85)
Radiotherapy availability Radiotherapy coverage 173 Atun R et al, 20159 (see Appendix pg 86-89)
Surgery availability Availability of general surgery 184 Alkire BC et al, 201510 (see Appendix pg 90-93)
Targeted therapy availability Prior probabilities set by income group NA (see Appendix pg 94-95)
Availability of imaging modalities Availability of:
- Ultrasound
- X-ray
- CT
- MRI
- PET
- SPECT
− 29
− 65
− 174
− 172
− 186
− 185
IAEA IMAGINE database14 (see Appendix pg 96-103)
Quality of care Prior probabilities set by income group NA (see Appendix pg 104)