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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Apr 5.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2020 Jun 29;14(2):685–705. doi: 10.1214/19-aoas1294

Table 1.

Mean Absolute Error and Coverage of Out of Sample TFR Point and Interval Predictions for Original Method (Alkema et al., 2011), and Proposed Method.

Original Method Proposed Method
Mean Absolute Error 0.250 0.242
Coverage of 80% interval 64.0% 77.8%
Coverage of 95% interval 80.1% 92.1%