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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Apr 5.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2020 Jun 29;14(2):685–705. doi: 10.1214/19-aoas1294

Table 2.

Proportion of Left-Out UN Estimates that Fall Above or Below their 80% and 95% Projection Intervals Split by Period.

95% PI 80% PI
Below Coverage Above Below Coverage Above
2005–2010 1.0% 91.7% 7.3% 1.0% 78.1% 20.9%
2010–2015 0.0% 92.7% 7.3% 4.7% 77.5% 17.8%