Table 3:

Voter Turnout - Other Post-Lottery Elections

	N	Control Group Mean	Effect of Lottery Selection	First Stage	Effect of Medicaid Coverage	p-value
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
Panel A: November 2010 Election
Measured in 2013 data	74922	22.895	−2.590 (1.529)	0.229 (0.013)	−11.330 (6.463)	0.080
Measured in 2013 data, controlling for pre-period voting	74922	22.895	−1.170 (0.984)	0.229 (0.013)	−5.156 (4.273)	0.228
Panel B: Any Other Post-Lottery Election
Measured in 2010 Data	74922	20.528	0.577 (0.358)	0.238 (0.004)	2.428 (1.505)	0.107

Notes: Panel A outcome is from the 2013 data pull; Panel B outcome is from the 2010 data pull. “Any other post-lottery election” is any election from May 2008 through June 2010 except the November 2008 election (see Table A3 for list). The analysis of the November 2010 election is weighted to account for a series of new Medicaid lottery draws that began in Fall 2009, using weights to account for lottery selection through November 2010; the first stage variable is defined as being on Medicaid at any point from the first lottery notification date through the November 2010 election. The “ any other post-lottery” election uses weights through June 2010 and defines the first stage variable as being on Medicaid at any point from the first notification date through June 1, 2010. Column (3) shows the intent-to-treat estimates from Equation 1; column (4) shows the first stage estimates from Equation 3; column (5) shows the IV estimates of the impact of Medicaid coverage using the lottery as an instrument for Medicaid from Equation 2. All analyses include controls for household size, and adjust the standard errors for household clusters.