Table 1. Values and interpretation of the parameters of the model.
Parameter interpretation | Value | Reference |
---|---|---|
Human population sample [H] | 100 000 per sample | Proposed |
Mosquitoes population sample [M] | 100 000 per sample | Proposed |
Recalculations (loops) | 500 | Proposed |
Initial proportion of urban infected mosquitoes | 20% | [40] |
Initial proportion of infected humans | 0 | Supposed |
Infectious meal rate from humans to mosquitoes | 0.3 | [41, 42] |
Mortality rate of uninfected mosquito [k] | (−90.66+9.54 T−0.18 T2)−1 | [43] |
Mortality rate of infected mosquito | 1.56 k | [44] |
Infectious bites rate from mosquitoes to humans | 0.2 | [42, 43, 45] |
Immunity acquisition rate [R(t)] | 0.14 | [46] |
Immunity loss rate (daily loss) | 0.001% | [47] |
Extrinsic Incubation Period [EIP] | [48] | |
Cross protection duration | 1–2 weeks | [49] |
Mutation rate per amino acid per year | 0.35% to 1.39% | [33] |
E-protein length | 480 amino acids | [50] |
Proportion of infective virus | 10−4 | [32] |
Percentage of sequence identity to define new serotype | 40%-80% | [11, 36, 51, 52] |
Percentage of persons which enters to the forest to carry out their daily activities | 30%–90% | Supposed |
Proportion of symptomatic dengue infection in humans | 4.2% | [53] |
Proportion of sylvatic mosquitoes infected with DENV | 1.13% | [54] |
Explicit Calculations | ||
Dynamic of human-infected population [I(t)] | ||
Dynamic of human-infected population [R(t)] | ||
Dynamic of susceptible-human population [S(t)] | S(t) = 1−[I(t−1)+R(t−1)] | |
Dynamic mosquito-infected population [J(t)] | ||
Temperature |
T = Temperature, t = Time, NSTE = New serotype transmission event, NHI = New human infection, NRH = New recovered human, HLI = Human immunity loss, NMI = New mosquito infection, NSCE = New sequence consolidation events, DIM = Death of infected mosquito.