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. 2020 Jan 23;4(2):e16–e30. doi: 10.1093/jcag/gwz048

Table 4.

Results of multilevel regression analyses assessing IBD-specific emergency department visits and hospitalizations within 1 and 5 years of IBD diagnosis

Emergency department Visitsa Hospitalizationsa
Within 1 year of diagnosis Within 5 years of diagnosis Within 1 year of diagnosis Within 5 years of diagnosis
Model A Model B Model A Model B Model A Model B Model A Model B
Utilization of and access to specialist care, OR (95% CI)
Gastroenterologist as the primary provider of IBD care at diagnosis 1.01 (0.81, 1.28) 1.02 (0.81, 1.28) 1.04 (0.87, 1.24) 1.05 (0.88, 1.26) 0.92 (0.76, 1.12) 0.91 (0.75, 1.11) 1.03 (0.87, 1.22) 1.01 (0.85, 1.2)
Distance to primary provider of IBD care (per 10 km) 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01) 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 1.00 (0.99, 1.02)
Emergency department visit at diagnosis 2.26 (1.77, 2.89) 2.26 (1.77, 2.89) 1.60 (1.30, 1.97) 1.60 (1.30, 1.96) 0.93 (0.75, 1.17) 0.93 (0.75, 1.17) 1.05 (0.86, 1.29) 1.06 (0.86, 1.29)
Hospitalization at diagnosis 2.18 (1.70, 2.79) 2.17 (1.70, 2.79) 1.93 (1.57, 2.39) 1.94 (1.57, 2.40) 10.36 (8.33, 12.9) 10.35 (8.32, 12.89) 3.97 (3.24, 4.86) 3.94 (3.22, 4.83)
Medication utilization, OR (95% CI)
Biologic use 0.69 (0.27, 1.81) 0.69 (0.26, 1.80) 2.99 (1.01, 8.85) 2.97 (1.004, 8.81) 1.30 (0.81, 2.07) 1.29 (0.81, 2.05) 3.73 (1.98, 7.04) 3.67 (1.95, 6.94)
Immunomodulator use 3.56 (2.52, 5.03) 3.56 (2.52, 5.03) 14.74 (10.51, 20.67) 14.68 (10.46, 20.59) 6.77 (5.28, 8.68) 6.79 (5.30, 8.70) 12.84 (9.82, 16.78) 12.9 (9.86, 16.86)
Time to diagnosis, OR (95% CI)
<1 month (reference)
1 to <6 months 1.25 (0.81, 1.92) 1.25 (0.81, 1.92) 1.33 (0.96, 1.85) 1.33 (0.96, 1.85) 1.11 (0.76, 1.62) 1.11 (0.76, 1.62) 0.90 (0.65, 1.25) 0.90 (0.65, 1.25)
6 to <12 months 1.66 (1.05, 2.61) 1.66 (1.05, 2.61) 1.11 (0.75, 1.65) 1.11 (0.75, 1.65) 1.16 (0.74, 1.82) 1.16 (0.74, 1.81) 0.84 (0.56, 1.25) 0.84 (0.56, 1.25)
≥12 months 1.07 (0.85, 1.35) 1.07 (0.85, 1.35) 1.11 (0.92, 1.33) 1.11 (0.93, 1.33) 1.06 (0.87, 1.29) 1.06 (0.87, 1.28) 1.03 (0.87, 1.22) 1.02 (0.86, 1.21)
Number of gastroenterologists per 100,000, OR (95% CI)
0–2.4 1.01 (0.76, 1.33) 1.09 (0.90, 1.32) 0.89 (0.72, 1.09) 0.82 (0.69, 0.98)
2.5–4.9 0.95 (0.68, 1.32) 0.92 (0.73, 1.15) 1.03 (0.81, 1.31) 0.97 (0.79, 1.20)
≥5 (reference)
Variance of random effects
Variance ( τ2 ) 0.0500 0.0500 0.004 0.0005 0 0 0 0
P-value 0.1123 0.1110 0.4221 0.49 - - - -
MOR (95% CI) 1.24 1.24 1.06 1.02 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
ICC 0.0153 0.0153 0.0013 0.0001 0 0 0 0

aEmergency department visits and hospitalizations occurring within 1 month of diagnosis were excluded from the 1- and 5-year outcomes.

CI, confidence interval; IBD, inflammatory bowel disease; ICC, intraclass correlation coefficient; MOR, median odds ratio; OR, odds ratio Model A includes patient-level variables only. Model B includes patient-level variables and network-level gastroenterologist supply. Both models are adjusted for age at IBD diagnosis, sex, mean neighbourhood income quintile, rural/urban residence and comorbidity index. Significant findings are indicated in bold font.