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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Med Care. 2021 May 1;59(5):402–409. doi: 10.1097/MLR.0000000000001527

Table 4.

Odds of Changing to Later-Period Multimorbidity Classes, or to Deceased and Lost to Follow-Up Between 1998 and 2014, by Initial Multimorbidity Class and Race/Ethnicity.

Status in 2014** OR (95% CI)
Status in 1998* CV-MSK-METAB MULTISYSTEM DECEASED LOST TO FOLLOW-UP
Model 1
CV-MSK 0.24 (0.19, 0.30) 1.78 (1.40, 2.25) 1.64 (1.36, 2.00) 1.77 (1.47, 2.14)
CV-MSK-MENTAL 0.04 (0.02,0.07) 0.11 (0.07 0.17) 2.60 (2.03, 3.33) 4.71 (3.75, 5.91)
Model 2
CV-MSK 0.24 (0.19, 0.30) 1.70 (1.34, 2.14) 1.60 (1.32, 1.94) 1.73 (1.44, 2.08)
CV-MSK-MENTAL 0.04 (0.02, 0.07) 0.11 (0.07, 0.16) 2.54 (1.98, 3.26) 4.60 (3.67, 5.77)
Black vs. White 1.33 (0.94, 1.88) 2.62 (1.78, 3.86) 1.84 (1.27, 2.68) 1.85 (1.28, 2.68)
Hispanic vs. White 0.99 (0.64, 1.54) 1.56 (0.96, 2.54) 1.14 (0.81, 1.59) 0.94 (0.64, 1.39)
Model 3
CV-MSK 0.25 (0.20, 0.32) 1.78 (1.41, 2.26) 1.62 (1.33, 1.97) 1.44 (1.21, 1.71)
CV-MSK-MENTAL 0.05 (0.03, 0.08) 0.11 (0.07, 0.18) 2.45 (1.87, 3.21) 3.08 (2.44, 3.90)
Black vs. White 1.40 (0.98, 2.00) 2.60 (1.77, 3.82) 1.62 (1.12, 2.36) 2.11 (1.44, 3.08)
Hispanic vs. White 1.22 (0.76, 1.96) 1.67 (1.02, 2.74) 0.97 (0.70, 1.35) 0.91 (0.59, 1.39)
Age in 1998 0.97 (0.96, 0.98) 0.98 (0.96, 0.99) 0.99 (0.98, 1.01) 1.12 (1.11, 1.13)
Female sex 1.23 (1.04, 1.45) 1.23 (1.05, 1.44) 1.26 (1.09, 1.47) 0.68 (0.60, 0.78)
Years of education 1.09 (1.04, 1.13) 1.04 (1.00, 1.08) 0.98 (0.94 1.01) 0.96 (0.93, 0.99)
Net worth in 1998 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) 1.00 (1.00, 1.00) 1.00 (1.00, 1.00)

Abbreviations: CV-MSK= Cardiovascular-Musculoskeletal; CV-MSK-MENTAL= Cardiovascular-Musculoskeletal-Mental; CARDIOMET-MSK= Cardiometabolic-Musculoskeletal; MULTISYSTEM= Multisystem Multimorbidity.

Notes:

*

Multinomial logistic regression models to assess change from the CV-MSK or CV-MSK-MENTAL 1998 classes as compared with change from MINIMAL 1998 class (reference).

**

Change to the CV-MSK-METAB or MULTISYSTEM 2014 classes, or deceased or lost to follow-up by 2014, as compared with change to CV-MSK 2014 class (reference).