Table 6.

Root mean square error scores for the time series of new COVID-19 cases (baseline), the baseline + restaurants time series, and the baseline + bars time series for the 10 US states and territories with the fewest daily new cases from April 9 to July 7, 2020.

Model	Root mean square error
	Kansas	Hawaii	New Hampshire	Maine	West Virginia	Rhode Island	Connecticut	Montana	Nebraska	Delaware
Baseline	28.41	51.49	12.09	20.92	26.18	5.37	3.47	29.58	5.49	20.73
Baseline + restaurant searches	25.56	43.64	8.10	14.57	22.55	8.88	3.91	43.34	8.22	20.42
Baseline + bars	34.43	49.01	15.30	21.96	24.15	6.01	4.68	43.27	8.67	12.81