. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2022 Apr 1.

Published in final edited form as: J Am Soc Echocardiogr. 2020 Nov 17;34(4):388–400. doi: 10.1016/j.echo.2020.11.002

Table 2.

Predicted Probabilities^* of Stage B Left Ventricular Abnormalities by Age, Overall and by Race and Sex: the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study

	Predicted Probability (%) and 95% Confidence Interval for Any Stage B Left Ventricular Abnormality (Adverse Geometry, Ejection Fraction <50%, and/or Diastolic Dysfunction^†, by Age
	40 years	45 years	50 years	55 years	60 years
*N with outcome/N total*^‡	45/183	258/883	603/1825	541/1360	102/250
Overall	19.5 (16.5–22.9)	24.8 (22.3–27.4)	30.8 (29.1–32.6)	37.7 (36.0–39.4)	45.0 (42.0–48.1)
Black men	27.0 (19.3–36.3)	32.8 (26.8–39.3)	39.1 (35.1–43.2)	45.8 (41.2–50.4)	52.7 (44.9–60.3)
Black women	25.3 (19.4–32.3)	32.8 (28.0–37.9)	41.3 (38.0–44.6)	50.4 (46.8–53.9)	59.4 (53.6–65.0)
White men	15.1 (10.1–21.8)	19.7 (15.3–25.0)	25.2 (22.0–28.8)	31.7 (28.7–35.0)	39.1 (33.4–45.0)
White women	7.7 (4.9–11.8)	12.2 (9.1–16.1)	18.8 (16.1–21.8)	27.8 (25.3–30.5)	39.1 (33.9–44.6)

An age-squared term was tested and not significant (P>0.05) so was not included in models.

^†

Diastolic dysfunction on the basis of full 2016 American Society of Echocardiography criteria, among participants with ejection fraction ≥50%. Required variables were only available at years 25 and 30; probabilities are thus restricted to ages 40 to 60 years. See text (Methods) for details.

^‡

Actual Ns for complete cases analyzed in the models are shown, by participant age group (columns left to right): 40–44, 45–49, 50–54, 55–59, and 60–64 years. See also Figure 2 and eTable 4.