Table 3.
Baseline LV Parameter, per 1 SD|| | Adjusted§ Odds Ratio (95% Confidence Interval) for Outcome at 25-Year Follow-Up | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Concentric Remodeling | Concentric Hypertrophy | Eccentric Hypertrophy | Ejection Fraction <50% | Diastolic Dysfunction | ||||||
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 1 | Model 2 | |
Outcome N (%)/total N¶ | 264 (18) / 1445 | 66 (5) / 1445 | 72 (5) / 1445 | 50 (3) / 1613 | 137 (13) / 1073 | |||||
ESD/ht | 0.68 (0.58–0.80) | 0.68 (0.58–0.79) | 0.69 (0.53–0.92) | 0.69 (0.51–0.91) | 1.29 (1.00–1.67) | 1.34 (1.02–1.75) | 2.54 (1.86–3.46) | 2.56 (1.87–3.52) | 0.96 (0.79–1.16) | 0.97 (0.80–1.19) |
Mass/ht2.7 | 1.06 (0.91–1.24) | 1.03 (0.87–1.21) | 2.10 (1.58–2.79) | 1.63 (1.19–2.24) | 2.24 (1.70–2.97) | 1.70 (1.25–2.32) | 0.83 (0.60–1.14) | 0.77 (0.54–1.10) | 1.42 (1.18–1.70) | 1.24 (1.01–1.52) |
Baseline LV variables were selected for inclusion on the basis of statistically significant univariate associations, potential for collinearity, and clinical relevance.
LV geometry is a polytomous outcome including: concentric remodeling, defined as RWT≥0.42 without hypertrophy; hypertrophy, defined as LVM/ht2.7 >51 g/m2.7 and classified as concentric if RWT≥0.42 and eccentric if RWT<0.42, or normal geometry.
Ejection fraction was measured by 2-dimensional imaging in 780 participants; it was measured by M-mode in 834 participants without a 2-dimensional measurement available.
Diastolic dysfunction is defined as more than half of available indicators abnormal from e’, E/e’, left atrial size, and tricuspid regurgitation jet velocity; see text (Methods) for details.
Model 1 adjusts for demographics (age, sex, race, educational level) and heart rate at 25-year follow-up. Model 2 additionally adjusts for cumulative clinical risk factor burden from baseline to 20 years later (sum of years at level * level of body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, blood glucose, physical activity, and alcohol intake; and percent of study visits using blood pressure and cholesterol medication).
1 SD for ESD/ht and mass/ht2.7 respectively equals 0.22 cm/m and 7.2 grams/m2.7 for geometry outcomes, 0.22 cm/m and 8.8 grams/m2.7 for ejection fraction outcome, and 0.21 cm/m and 7.8 grams/m2.7 for diastolic dysfunction outcome.
Ns shown are for complete cases analyzed in both Model 1 and Model 2.
E, early diastolic mitral inflow velocity; e’, tissue Doppler myocardial relaxation velocity; ESD, end-systolic dimension; ht, height (meters); LV, left ventricular; M, mass; RWT, relative wall thickness; SD, standard deviation.