Table 1.
Parameter definition and estimation of modified SEIR dynamic model in COVID-19 epidemic of Wuhan in China
Parameter | Definitions | Estimated Value | Range of value | Data Source |
---|---|---|---|---|
β | Probability of infection by symptomatic infections | 0.45 | 0.19-0.65 | 7, 26–28 |
β' | Probability of infection by asymptomatic infections | 0.30 | 2/3*β | 9, 24 |
p | Proportion of asymptomatic infections | 0.16 | 0.15-0.20 | 25 |
ω | Reciprocal of incubation period of symptomatic cases | 0.17 | 0.14-0.33 | 9 |
ω' | Reciprocal of incubation period of asymptomatic cases | 0.25 | 0.14-0.33 | 25 |
γ | Reciprocal of infectious period of symptomatic cases | 0.05 | 0.05-0.09 | 29,30 |
γ' | Reciprocal of infectious period of asymptomatic cases | 0.10 | 0.10-0.17 | 29 |
θ | Case fatality rate | 0.06 | – | Epidemic data |