Table 2.
Confusion matrices for the three proposed cut-offs for the model predictions regarding the presence of definite radiographic sacroiliitis on the validation dataset
| nr-axSpA | r-axSpA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Cut-off 1, favouring sensitivity over specificity | |||
| Model predicts nr-axSpA | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| Model predicts r-axSpA | 64 | 149 | 227 |
| 79 | 150 | 229 | |
| Cohen’s kappa | 0.22 (95% CI 0.11–0.33) | Accuracy: | n = 164/229 (71.6%) |
| Cut-off 2, favouring specificity over sensitivity | |||
| Model predicts nr-axSpA | 78 | 38 | 116 |
| Model predicts r-axSpA | 1 | 112 | 113 |
| 79 | 150 | 229 | |
| Cohen’s kappa | 0.66 (95% CI 0.57–0.76) | Accuracy: | n = 190/229 (83.0%) |
| Cut-off 3, optimal relationship between sensitivity and specificity | |||
| Model predicts nr-axSpA | 75 | 19 | 94 |
| Model predicts r-axSpA | 4 | 131 | 135 |
| 79 | 150 | 229 | |
| Cohen’s kappa | 0.79 (95% CI 0.7–0.87) | Accuracy: | n = 206/229 (90.0%) |