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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Aug 1.
Published in final edited form as: JACC Heart Fail. 2020 Jun 10;8(8):640–653. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2020.03.013

TABLE 4.

Event Rates for Adverse Cardiovascular Outcomes using ESC HFA-PEFF Score Categories

Outcomes, n (%) Asymptomatic
N=3749
Unexplained Dyspnea, HFA PEFF Score 0–2
N=117
Unexplained Dyspnea, HFA PEFF Score 3
N=214
Unexplained Dyspnea, HFA PEFF Score 4–6
N=310
Known HFpEF
N=502
Heart failure hospitalization or death
 • Number of events 416 19 36 83 172
 • Event rate (95% CI) per 1000 person-years 20.7 (31.6, 45.8) 31.8 (20.3, 49.9) 32.4 (23.4, 44.9) 54.3 (43.8, 67.3) 72.6 (62.6, 84.3)
 • Hazard ratio (95% CI) Ref 1.56 (0.98, 2.47) 1.58 (1.12, 2.22) 2.67 (2.11, 3.38) 3.62 (3.03, 4.32)
Heart failure hospitalization
 • Number of events 119 4 10 37 63
 • Event rate (95% CI) per 1000 person-years 5.9 (5.0, 7.1) 6.8 (2.5, 18.0) 9.1 (4.9, 16.9) 24.3 (17.6, 33.5) 32.4 (25.3, 41.5)
 • Hazard ratio (95% CI) ref 1.16 (0.43, 3.13) 1.54 (0.81, 2.94) 4.17 (2.88, 6.03) 5.59 (4.12, 7.59)
Death
 • Number of events 343 16 29 65 143
 • Event rate (95% CI) per 1000 person-years 16.9 (15.2, 18.8) 26.4 (16.2, 43.1) 25.7 (17.8, 36.9) 40.8 (32.0, 52.1) 58.0 (49.2, 68.3)
 • Hazard ratio (95% CI) Ref 1.59 (0.96, 2.62) 1.54 (1.05, 2.25) 2.46 (1.88, 3.20) 3.55 (2.92, 4.32)

ESC, European Society of Cardiology; CI, confidence interval; HFpEF, heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.