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. 2021 Mar 29;17(3):e1008837. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008837

Fig 4. Predictive accuracy.

Fig 4

The median and interquartile range (IQR) of MASE across all 50 states on each day of the 21-day prediction periods for new confirmed cases (a) and deaths (b). A MASE of 1 indicates equivalent accuracy to a one-day random walk forecast in the training data.