TABLE 1—
Hypothetical Comparison of the Effects of Reducing Smoking to Zero and Decreasing Air Pollution by Three Levels of Exposure From the Population Perspective
Smoking | Air Pollution | |
Prevalence of exposure | 0.137 | 0.85 |
RR of effects of exposurea | 2.6 | 1.3 |
AFpb | 0.18 | 0.18 |
Mortality base rate per 1000 | 8 | 8 |
RR of effects of intervention (1 − AFp) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
Intervention mortality rate per 1000 | 6.6 | 6.6 |
Risk difference per 1000c | −1.44 | −1.45 |
Number needed to treat | 695 | 691 |
Deaths prevented per 30 million population | 43 150 | 43 400 |
Note. AFp = population-attributable fraction; RR = relative risk.
Chen and Hoek2 reported a pooled relative risk for mortality of 1.08 per 10 µg/m3. Three levels of exposure lead to a risk of 1.3 (1.083).
AFp = p(RR − 1)/p(rr − 1) + 1 (Rothman et al.20).
RD = BR × (RR − 1) (Newcombe and Bender19).