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. 2021 Mar 30;17(3):e1008812. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008812

Table 1. Estimated Zika virus infections and 95% credible intervals (CrI) using three surveillance indicators.

Surveillance Indicator Cumulative ZIKV infections [95% CrI] Proportion of ZIKV infections [95% CrI] Median incident infections per 10,000 [95% CrI] Peak weekly incident infections per 10,000 people [95% CrI] Week of peak incidence [95% CrI]
Suspected arboviral cases 900,000 [630,000, 1,200,000] 27% [19%, 35%] 41 [28, 54] 130 [93, 180] 33 [32, 34]
Suspected ZIKV-associated GBS cases 880,000 [420,000, 1,300,000] 26% [12%, 38%] 39 [16, 56] 130 [66, 240] 32 [28, 38]
Blood bank data 960,000 [650,000, 1,300,000] 28% [19%, 37%] 35 [22, 48] 150 [99, 220] 28 [24, 34]
Combined indicators 890,000 [660,000, 1,100,000] 26% [19%, 33%] 40 [30, 52] 130 [97, 170] 33 [22, 34]

Median and 95% CrIs are shown from posterior distributions for each surveillance indicator. Peak week refers to the calendar week of the year associated with peak incidence during the epidemic. Abbreviations: CrI, credible interval; GBS, Guillain-Barré Syndrome; ZIKV, Zika virus.