Table 5.
Nonlinear ARDL long- and short-run results
Long-run estimation | Short-run estimation | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Coeff | Std Error | t-stat | P-value | Variables | Coeff | Std Error | t-stat | P-value |
GDP+ | −0.004*** | 0.001 | −4.975 | 0.000 | GDP+ | −0.004*** | 0.001 | −6.658 | 0.000 |
GDP− | 0.009*** | 0.001 | 7.254 | 0.000 | GDP− | 0.009*** | 0.001 | 9.241 | 0.000 |
IQ+ | −0.649*** | 0.042 | −15.64 | 0.000 | IQ+ | −0.649*** | 0.030 | −21.54 | 0.000 |
IQ− | 0.524*** | 0.033 | 15.83 | 0.000 | IQ− | 0.524*** | 0.022 | 23.31 | 0.000 |
FDI+ | 0.908*** | 0.081 | 11.17 | 0.000 | FDI+ | 0.908*** | 0.056 | 16.31 | 0.000 |
FDI− | −0.034 | 0.061 | −0.550 | 0.584 | FDI− | −0.034 | 0.035 | −0.955 | 0.343 |
FF+ | 3.323*** | 0.089 | 37.27 | 0.000 | FF+ | 3.323*** | 0.062 | 53.91 | 0.000 |
FF− | 4.193*** | 0.313 | 13.37 | 0.000 | FF− | 4.193*** | 0.209 | 20.00 | 0.000 |
RE+ | −2.634*** | 0.789 | −3.337 | 0.002 | RE+ | −2.634*** | 0.538 | −4.892 | 0.000 |
RE− | 2.786 | 2.330 | 1.196 | 0.237 | RE− | 2.788** | 1.351 | 2.063 | 0.044 |
C | 1.232*** | 0.199 | 6.199 | 0.000 | ECT(-) | −0.004*** | 0.001 | −7.221 | 0.000 |
Diagnostic tests | |||||||||
R2 | 0.996 | ||||||||
AdjR2 | 0.995 | ||||||||
DW statistics | 2.18 | ||||||||
F-statistics | 825.1 [0.000] | ||||||||
Bound tests | F=3.99998** K=10 | @ 5% | I(0)=2.3 | I(1)=3.5 | |||||
Bound tests | t=−7.22166*** K=10 | @ 1% | I(0)= −3.9 | I(1)= −5.9 | |||||
χ2 LM | 0.111 [0.963] | ||||||||
χ2 HET | 31.79 [0.104] |
*, **, and *** mirror 10%, 5%, and 1% significance level, respectively