Table 2.

Scenario 1. Population affected and excess cancers given a rolling 6-month delay to screening over one screening cycle.

Age group in 2020	Women affected by a 6-month rolling delay to screeninga	Estimated number of women with CIN2/3 in population	Excess diagnoses of cervical cancer	Excess rates per 100,000 affected	Excess rates per 100,000 population
25–29	1,533,957	45,772b	55	3.6	2.9
30–34	1,329,927	18,952b	47	3.6	2.5
35–39	1,365,366	21,846	76	5.6	4.1
40–44	1,238,154	19,810	129	10.4	7.5
45–49	1,316,637	21,066	137	10.4	7.3
50–54	1,698,585	8493	76	4.5	3.9
55–59	1,284,705	6424	58	4.5	3.1
60–64	932,160	4661	51	5.5	3.2
Total	10,699,491	147,024	630	5.9	4.3

^a Women who undergo screening in one screening round of 3 or 5 years, depending on age, estimated from the NHS Cervical Screening Programme statistics for years 2018–2019.

^bRate of CIN2/3 in the population adjusted for proportion vaccinated.