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. 2021 Apr 12;11:7901. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-86580-w

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.

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Policy impacts on peaks of critical cases (summary). Properties of the maximum number of critical cases throughout the epidemics for 130 days. The three policy scenarios are conducted and model lifting, maintaining and tightening the lockdown. Each scenario is simulated with and without consideration of TB as a risk factor to assess the impact. All policy scenarios start with 100 infected inhabitants and a default lockdown is applied until day 25. The dashed red lines represent the number of available ICUs. Each setup is based on ten simulations.