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. 2020 Jun 10;8:110789–110795. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3001344

FIGURE 2.

FIGURE 2.

Randomness at work: we have already seen or heard about at least one infection (black ball) among our ten friends, colleagues, or contacts (white balls); so the obvious questions are: how many more infections (black balls) are hidden in the jar, i.e. possible in the future, and what is the risk of drawing a black ball, i.e. of infection?.