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. 2020 Jun 10;8:109719–109731. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3001298

FIGURE 4.

FIGURE 4.

Parameter sensitivity. The three panels explore the expected total number of infections (population Inline graphic) for various parameter values Inline graphic and Inline graphic (i.e Inline graphic and Inline graphic for Inline graphic) and different control strategies (i.e. Inline graphic for different Inline graphic). The four panels depicted here correspond to (a) Inline graphic; (b) Inline graphic; (c) Inline graphic (90%, 80%, 70% physical distancing as reported in the panel headings). In each case we computed 80 simulations of 300 days. Other parameters are as reported in Table 1). Note that panel (a) has a linear ordinate, panel (b) and (c) are depicted with a logarithmic scale. As in Fig. 3 we observe explosive growth in impact with lower levels of compliance.