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. 2020 Jun 10;8:109719–109731. doi: 10.1109/ACCESS.2020.3001298

FIGURE 5.

FIGURE 5.

Control evaluation. We depict the effectiveness of control measures for each Australian state and internal territory (excluding Jervis Bay). In each case the epidemic diffusion is fitted to data up to the end of the exponential growth phase (that is, the point of inflexion on curves Inline graphic). Simulations up to this time point Inline graphic effectively seed the network and provide a distribution of infectious and exposed individuals within the community. Beyond this point we simulate the application of small-world control network structure Inline graphic for various values of Inline graphic. Here we illustrate Inline graphic, Inline graphic and Inline graphic corresponding to 95%, 90% and 80% control. Actual observed time series data is also shown and illustrates exception effectiveness of control measures for various Australian states.