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Mean (point) and 95% CIs (bars) of the predicted probabilities of autochthonous transmission in Asian cities, assuming transmission by (A) A. aegypti and (B) A. albopictus, given the independent introduction of at least one infectious individual. Probabilities are estimated at the average, minimum and maximum temperature for each location. Probabilities in red indicate an upper 95% probability of autochthonous transmission exceeding 0.5, denoted by the dashed red line
