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. 2021 Mar 10;592(7854):403–408. doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03323-7

Table 2.

Comparing measures of human capital and economic growth

Annual growth rate (2000–2010)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Human capital (harmonized learning outcomes)
Regression coefficient 0.072 0.059 0.061 0.069 0.066
Standard error 0.018 0.023 0.022 0.023 0.024
P value 0.000 0.011 0.007 0.003 0.006
Human capital (Penn world tables)
Regression coefficient 0.033 0.012 0.019
Standard error 0.011 0.013 0.035
P value 0.003 0.358 0.597
Human capital (schooling32)
Regression coefficient 0.016 0.006 0.014
Standard error 0.006 0.007 0.020
P value 0.004 0.382 0.494
Human capital (HDI)
Regression coefficient 0.020 0.002 −0.028
Standard error 0.008 0.010 0.022
P value 0.013 0.844 0.914
Control for GDP at the start of the time period Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Observations 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107
R2 0.300 0.261 0.255 0.240 0.306 0.305 0.301 0.318

Columns 1–8 include the same dependent variable. The difference across columns depends on which independent variables are included as denoted by whether the rows are filled out. The dependent variable is the annual growth rate averaged across 2000–201014. Human capital (harmonized learning outcomes) refers to the measure of human capital in this database averaged from 2000 onwards. Human capital (Penn world tables) refers to the measure of human capital in the Penn world tables v.9.014. Human capital (schooling32) refers to estimates from 2000, which is the start of our sample period32. Human capital (HDI) refers to the measure of education included in the United Nation’s HDI in the year 200015. Results include 107 countries and exclude countries in civil war, inflation crises and with rents from natural resources above 15%. All independent variables are transformed to log units to derive comparable elasticities. We control for the log transformation of initial GDP per capita levels at the beginning of the period (in the year 2000) in all specifications following standard practice in the growth literature3. We report regression coefficients, standard errors of the regression and P values.