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Risk to the infected person when infection at T = 550 with ICU bed capacity of 1000 under distinct regulations.
| No measures | School and business closures | Lockdown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New cases (based on the most probable value) | 0 | 1652 | 0 |
| Occupied bed/ (old cases) | 0 | 9235 | 0 |
| Probability of allocation of bed | 1 | =0.46 | 1 |
| Probability of safe recovery | 1 | 0.46x .90 + 0.46x0.1x 0.70 = 0.45 | 1 |
| Probability of Death | 0 | 0.55 | 0 |
