Table 2.
Area under the ROC curve and optimal cutoff value of variables indicating acute respiratory distress syndrome in COVID-19.
AUROC | P value | 95% CI | Cutoff value | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Continuous variables | ||||||||
C-reactive protein (mg/dL) | 0.90 | <0.001 | 0.85–0.94 | 5.0 | 94 | 74 | 51 | 98 |
Infiltration on chest X ray (%) | 0.87 | <0.001 | 0.81–0.94 | 22 | 74 | 84 | 57 | 91 |
Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio | 0.87 | <0.001 | 0.80–0.93 | 3.55 | 90 | 71 | 47 | 97 |
Lymphocyte count (/mm3) | 0.81 | <0.001 | 0.74–0.88 | 1021 | 70 | 74 | 44 | 90 |
Neutrophil count (/mm3) | 0.77 | <0.001 | 0.68–0.86 | 5373 | 67 | 82 | 43 | 90 |
Age (year) | 0.80 | <0.001 | 0.72–0.87 | 60 | 92 | 53 | 35 | 96 |
Lactate dehydrogenase (U/L) | 0.74 | <0.001 | 0.64–0.85 | 600 | 71 | 65 | 37 | 89 |
Aspartate transaminase (U/L) | 0.73 | <0.001 | 0.64–0.83 | 41 | 70 | 71 | 41 | 89 |
Platelet (×103/mm3) | 0.72 | <0.001 | 0.63–0.81 | 204 | 57 | 60 | 29 | 83 |
Glucose (mg/dL) | 0.72 | <0.001 | 0.63–0.81 | 125 | 75 | 66 | 40 | 90 |
Blood urea nitrogen (mg/dL) | 0.68 | 0.001 | 0.56–0.79 | 14.6 | 62 | 63 | 33 | 85 |
Body mass index (kg/m2) | 0.65 | 0.010 | 0.55–0.75 | 24.2 | 66 | 67 | 32 | 88 |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 0.62 | 0.023 | 0.51–0.73 | 0.83 | 60 | 60 | 30 | 84 |
| ||||||||
Categorical variables | ||||||||
Dyspnea | 0.67 | 0.002 | 0.57–0.77 | 70 | 64 | 36 | 88 | |
Hypertension | 0.64 | 0.011 | 0.53–0.74 | 57 | 71 | 36 | 85 | |
Headache | 0.63 | 0.015 | 0.54–0.73 | 89 | 37 | 8 | 71 | |
Diabetes mellitus | 0.60 | 0.059 | 0.49–0.71 | 35 | 85 | 41 | 82 | |
Fever | 0.60 | 0.068 | 0.50–0.70 | 84 | 36 | 27 | 88 | |
Myalgia | 0.60 | 0.059 | 0.50–0.70 | 81 | 39 | 12 | 72 | |
Sore throat | 0.58 | 0.164 | 0.48–0.67 | 95 | 21 | 7 | 74 | |
Dementia | 0.56 | 0.300 | 0.45–0.67 | 14 | 98 | 63 | 80 | |
Chronic kidney disease | 0.55 | 0.391 | 0.44–0.66 | 11 | 98 | 67 | 79 |
Acronyms: AUROC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; PPV = positive predictive value; NPV = negative predictive value.