Table 5.
Intervention scenarios and corresponding predicted marginal probabilities of selected outcomes during the TSU phase: Bihar, 2014–2017
| Intervention scenarios | Institutional delivery | ANC3+ | EIBF |
| Predicted marginal probabilities at mean values | 0.735 (0.726 to 0.744) |
0.417 (0.408 to 0.426) |
0.675 (0.667 to 0.682) |
| No woman gets FHW visits during pregnancy | 0.696 (0.685 to 0.706) |
0.396 (0.386 to 0.405) |
0.630 (0.621 to 0.638) |
| All women get FHW visits during pregnancy | 0.772 (0.761 to 0.784) |
0.425 (0.413 to 0.438) |
0.693 (0.683 to 0.702) |
| All women get 2+ FHW visits during third pregnancy trimester with low-to-moderate quality of interactions with FHWs, but no outcome-specific advice | 0.783 (0.768 to 0.797) |
0.408 (0.392 to 0.424) |
0.693 (0.682 to 0.705) |
| All women get 2+ FHW visits during last trimester with high quality of interactions with FHWs, but no outcome-specific advice | 0.798 (0.780 to 0.817) |
0.450 (0.429 to 0.472) |
0.735 (0.716 to 0.755) |
| All women get 2+ FHW visits during last trimester with high quality of interactions with FHWs and outcome-specific advice | 0.822 (0.809 to 0.835) |
0.485 (0.469 to 0.501) |
0.819 (0.807 to 0.832) |
| All women get 2+ FHW visits during last trimester with high quality of interactions with FHWs and outcome-specific advice and all deliveries occur in health facility | n/a | n/a | 0.849 (0.838 to 0.860) |
| 100% deliveries in a health facility | n/a | n/a | 0.733 (0.726 to 0.741) |
| 100% mothers are members of self-help groups | 0.751 (0.739 to 0.762) |
0.423 (0.410 to 0.435) |
0.695 (0.684 to 0.707) |
| 100% mothers are literate | 0.784 (0.774 to 0.794) |
0.474 (0.463 to 0.484) |
0.673 (0.664 to 0.682) |
Predicted marginal probabilities are from multivariable regression models fitted using the scale-up phase data from all 38 districts and shown in table 4.
ANC, antenatal care; EIBF, early initiation of breast feeding; FHW, frontline health worker; n/a, not available; TSU, Technical Support Unit.